Monarch CastleGeoRisk
Collection
GeoRisk

Reports

Historical research reports

These dated reports are archived research. Their claims and historical scores have not been independently verified and do not describe the current forecast.

Iran
Middle East

Iran-Israel theater watch: cross-border signaling and regional spillover

Archived research

An archived scenario note about cross-border signaling and regional spillover.

Mar 27, 2026
Sudan
Africa

Sudan risk brief: corridor pressure and militia repositioning

Archived research

An archived scenario note about corridor security and humanitarian pressure in Sudan.

Mar 26, 2026
Ukraine
Europe

Ukraine watch: Black Sea pressure and route sensitivity

Archived research

An archived scenario note about maritime routes and infrastructure in Ukraine.

Mar 22, 2026
Syria
Middle East

Syria note: border fragility and humanitarian deterioration risk

Archived research

An archived scenario note about border fragility and humanitarian conditions in Syria.

Mar 18, 2026