Forecast board
Published country rankings with exact 30-day probabilities
This surface reads only from the canonical site snapshot. It stays table-first, keeps the published probability visible, and shows threshold state instead of decorative crisis color.
Current Watch
Iran
Iran-Israel theater watch: cross-border signaling and regional spillover
Watch Brief
2026-03-27
Iran and Israel now sit at the center of the theater desk as cross-border signaling, proxy activation, and corridor exposure reinforce the probability of a wider regional escalation cycle.
Model State
monitoring only
No Clear Leader
Publication Context
Source
preferred
Coverage
272 countries
Regions
8
Backtest Leader
logit
Preferred published snapshot is active.
| Rank | Country | 30d Probability | Weekly Move | Threshold State | Top Drivers | Snapshot Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Venezuela, RB VEN / Americas | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 02 | Nicaragua NIC / Unspecified | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 03 | Cuba CUB / Unspecified | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 04 | Afghanistan AFG / Asia | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 05 | Honduras HND / Americas | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 06 | Haiti HTI / Americas | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 07 | Guatemala GTM / Americas | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 08 | Mexico MEX / Americas | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 09 | Turkiye TUR / Asia | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 10 | El Salvador SLV / Americas | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 11 | Eritrea ERI / Africa | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 12 | Peru PER / Americas | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 13 | Ecuador ECU / Americas | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 14 | Russian Federation RUS / Unspecified | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 15 | Iraq IRQ / Middle East | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 16 | Burundi BDI / Africa | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 17 | Bangladesh BGD / Asia | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 18 | Unknown UNK / Unspecified | 1.1% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 19 | Iran IRN / Middle East | 0.78% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 20 | Guinea GIN / Africa | 0.78% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 21 | Brazil BRA / Americas | 0.78% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 22 | Senegal SEN / Africa | 0.78% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 23 | Egypt, Arab Rep. EGY / Middle East | 0.78% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 24 | Sri Lanka LKA / Asia | 0.78% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 25 | Mauritania MRT / Africa | 0.78% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 26 | Pakistan PAK / Asia | 0.78% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 27 | Rwanda RWA / Africa | 0.78% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 28 | Armenia ARM / Europe | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 29 | Chile CHL / Unspecified | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 30 | Cote d'Ivoire CIV / Unspecified | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 31 | Angola AGO / Africa | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 32 | West Bank and Gaza PSE / Unspecified | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 33 | Uzbekistan UZB / Unspecified | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 34 | Ghana GHA / Africa | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 35 | Dominican Republic DOM / Unspecified | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 36 | Georgia GEO / Europe | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 37 | Nepal NPL / Asia | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 38 | South Sudan SSD / Africa | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 39 | Belarus BLR / Unspecified | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 40 | Kyrgyz Republic KGZ / Asia | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 41 | Jordan JOR / Middle East | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 42 | Morocco MAR / Africa | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 43 | Albania ALB / Europe | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 44 | Congo, Rep. COG / Africa | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 45 | Kazakhstan KAZ / Unspecified | 0.44% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 46 | Tunisia TUN / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 47 | Jamaica JAM / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 48 | Mongolia MNG / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 49 | Bolivia BOL / Americas | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 50 | Sierra Leone SLE / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 51 | Uganda UGA / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 52 | Kenya KEN / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 53 | Moldova MDA / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 54 | Gambia, The GMB / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 55 | Chad TCD / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 56 | Zimbabwe ZWE / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 57 | Romania ROU / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 58 | Tajikistan TJK / Asia | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 59 | Lebanon LBN / Middle East | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 60 | Liberia LBR / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 61 | Stateless XXA / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 62 | Malaysia MYS / Asia | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 63 | Malawi MWI / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 64 | Western Sahara ESH / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 65 | Libya LBY / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 66 | Algeria DZA / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 67 | Kuwait KWT / Middle East | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 68 | North Macedonia MKD / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 69 | Togo TGO / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 70 | Tonga TON / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 71 | Guyana GUY / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 72 | Sao Tome and Principe STP / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 73 | Paraguay PRY / Americas | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 74 | Fiji FJI / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 75 | Suriname SUR / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 76 | Bahamas, The BHS / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 77 | Montenegro MNE / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 78 | Djibouti DJI / Africa | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 79 | Bhutan BTN / Unspecified | 0.20% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 80 | Panama PAN / Unspecified | 0.13% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 81 | Belize BLZ / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 82 | Solomon Islands SLB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 83 | Timor-Leste TLS / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 84 | Uruguay URY / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 85 | Mauritius MUS / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 86 | Botswana BWA / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 87 | Costa Rica CRI / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 88 | Viet Nam VNM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 89 | Vanuatu VUT / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 90 | Lao PDR LAO / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 91 | Comoros COM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 92 | Dominica DMA / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 93 | Guinea-Bissau GNB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 94 | Maldives MDV / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 95 | Namibia NAM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 96 | Samoa WSM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 97 | Trinidad and Tobago TTO / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 98 | Estonia EST / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 99 | Cabo Verde CPV / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 100 | Iceland ISL / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 101 | Turkmenistan TKM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 102 | Gabon GAB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 103 | Barbados BRB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 104 | Latvia LVA / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 105 | Kosovo XKX / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 106 | St. Lucia LCA / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 107 | Croatia HRV / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 108 | Lesotho LSO / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 109 | Malta MLT / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 110 | Hungary HUN / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 111 | Antigua and Barbuda ATG / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 112 | Lithuania LTU / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 113 | San Marino SMR / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 114 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines VCT / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 115 | French Guiana GUF / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 116 | Grenada GRD / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 117 | Luxembourg LUX / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 118 | Eswatini SWZ / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 119 | Benin BEN / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 120 | Israel ISR / Middle East | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 121 | Seychelles SYC / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 122 | Bulgaria BGR / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 123 | Tibetan TIB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 124 | Slovenia SVN / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 125 | Ireland IRL / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 126 | Kiribati KIR / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 127 | St. Kitts and Nevis KNA / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 128 | Andorra AND / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 129 | Palau PLW / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 130 | Macao SAR, China MAC / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 131 | Sint Maarten (Dutch part) SXM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 132 | Naoero NRU / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 133 | Marshall Islands MHL / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 134 | Bahrain BHR / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 135 | Guadeloupe GLP / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 136 | Bermuda BMU / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 137 | Tuvalu TUV / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 138 | Micronesia, Fed. Sts. FSM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 139 | Equatorial Guinea GNQ / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 140 | Slovak Republic SVK / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 141 | Niue NIU / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 142 | Anguilla AIA / Americas | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 143 | Martinique MTQ / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 144 | Guernsey GGY / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 145 | Jersey JEY / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 146 | Taiwan TWN / Asia-Pacific | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 147 | British Virgin Islands VGB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 148 | Turks and Caicos Islands TCA / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 149 | St. Martin (French part) MAF / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 150 | Monaco MCO / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 151 | Gibraltar GIB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 152 | Liechtenstein LIE / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 153 | Northern Mariana Islands MNP / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 154 | American Samoa ASM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 155 | Faroe Islands FRO / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 156 | Greenland GRL / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 157 | Cayman Islands CYM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 158 | Isle of Man IMN / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 159 | Virgin Islands (U.S.) VIR / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 160 | Aruba ABW / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 161 | Curacao CUW / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 162 | Channel Islands CHI / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 163 | Guam GUM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 164 | Cyprus CYP / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 165 | New Caledonia NCL / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 166 | French Polynesia PYF / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 167 | Brunei Darussalam BRN / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 168 | Pacific island small states PSS / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 169 | Zambia ZMB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 170 | Hong Kong SAR, China HKG / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 171 | Caribbean small states CSS / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 172 | Norway NOR / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 173 | New Zealand NZL / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 174 | Qatar QAT / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 175 | Singapore SGP / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 176 | Portugal PRT / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 177 | Puerto Rico (US) PRI / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 178 | Denmark DNK / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 179 | Oman OMN / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 180 | Central African Republic CAF / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 181 | Austria AUT / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 182 | Finland FIN / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 183 | Greece GRC / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 184 | Cambodia KHM / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 185 | Czechia CZE / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 186 | Belgium BEL / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 187 | Sweden SWE / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 188 | Switzerland CHE / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 189 | Other small states OSS / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 190 | United Arab Emirates ARE / Middle East | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 191 | Netherlands NLD / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 192 | Small states SST / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 193 | Argentina ARG / Americas | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 194 | Mali MLI / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 195 | Madagascar MDG / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 196 | Australia AUS / Asia | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 197 | Korea, Dem. People's Rep. PRK / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 198 | Bosnia and Herzegovina BIH / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 199 | Poland POL / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 200 | Saudi Arabia SAU / Middle East | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 201 | Papua New Guinea PNG / Asia | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 202 | Spain ESP / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 203 | Canada CAN / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 204 | Serbia SRB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 205 | South Africa ZAF / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 206 | Korea, Rep. KOR / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 207 | Tanzania TZA / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 208 | Italy ITA / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 209 | Thailand THA / Asia | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 210 | United Kingdom GBR / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 211 | France FRA / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 212 | Germany DEU / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 213 | Cameroon CMR / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 214 | Burkina Faso BFA / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 215 | Central Europe and the Baltics CEB / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 216 | Somalia, Fed. Rep. SOM / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 217 | Japan JPN / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 218 | Philippines PHL / Asia | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 219 | Ethiopia ETH / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 220 | Niger NER / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 221 | Azerbaijan AZE / Europe | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 222 | Mozambique MOZ / Africa | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 223 | Indonesia IDN / Asia | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 224 | Europe & Central Asia (excluding high income) ECA / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 225 | United States USA / Americas | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 226 | Euro area EMU / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 227 | North America NAC / Unspecified | 0.12% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 228 | European Union EUU / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 229 | Europe & Central Asia (IDA & IBRD countries) TEC / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 230 | Ukraine UKR / Europe | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 231 | Arab World ARB / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 232 | Sudan SDN / Africa | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 233 | Africa Western and Central AFW / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 234 | Colombia COL / Latin America | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 235 | India IND / Asia | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 236 | China CHN / Asia | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 237 | Latin America & Caribbean (excluding high income) LAC / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 238 | Latin America & the Caribbean (IDA & IBRD countries) TLA / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 239 | Latin America & Caribbean LCN / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 240 | IDA blend IDB / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 241 | Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan (IDA & IBRD) TMN / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 242 | Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan (excluding high income) MNA / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 243 | Myanmar MMR / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 244 | Africa Eastern and Southern AFE / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 245 | Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan MEA / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 246 | Nigeria NGA / Africa | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 247 | Europe & Central Asia ECS / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 248 | Heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC) HPC / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 249 | Syria SYR / Middle East | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 250 | Pre-demographic dividend PRE / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 251 | Post-demographic dividend PST / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 252 | Least developed countries: UN classification LDC / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 253 | IDA only IDX / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 254 | Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding high income) SSA / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 255 | Sub-Saharan Africa SSF / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 256 | Sub-Saharan Africa (IDA & IBRD countries) TSS / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 257 | OECD members OED / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 258 | Yemen, Rep. YEM / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 259 | Congo, Dem. Rep. COD / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 260 | South Asia SAS / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 261 | South Asia (IDA & IBRD) TSA / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 262 | IDA total IDA / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 263 | East Asia & Pacific (IDA & IBRD countries) TEA / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 264 | East Asia & Pacific (excluding high income) EAP / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 265 | Late-demographic dividend LTE / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 266 | East Asia & Pacific EAS / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 267 | Early-demographic dividend EAR / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 268 | IBRD only IBD / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 269 | Middle income MIC / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 270 | Low & middle income LMY / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 271 | IDA & IBRD total IBT / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |
| 272 | World WLD / Unspecified | 0.00% | 0.00 pp | Alert threshold |
| 2026-09-21 |