Methodology

Methods built for inspection

Public source routes, limitations, and forecasting standards make the analytical process easier to understand.

Provenance

Source routes and product methods remain available so readers can inspect how an output was constructed.

Freshness

Products identify their time horizon and update behavior where that context matters to interpretation.

Limitations

Products may depend on external sources and methodologies. A listing is not a guarantee of completeness, availability, or predictive performance.

Forecasting

Evaluation before performance language

Forecasting claims are published only with a defined horizon, scoring rule, and evidence that readers can examine.

Read the forecast evaluation protocol

The Keep preview

A declared cross-system summary—not a hidden model.

The live preview reads each product's published meta.main_index, status, timestamp, country records, and events. It does not alter upstream scores.

The displayed composite is the arithmetic mean of available BNTI, WTI, and MENA main indices: (BNTI + WTI + MENA) / n. Missing or failed feeds are excluded and visibly reported. This preview composite is an orientation aid, not a forecast or customer-specific risk score.

Country exposure rows are sorted by the published product index. Event rows retain source links and timestamps. No LLM is required for platform rendering.

Versioned inputs

Each mounted product output carries its own generation time, model version, and source boundary where available.

Deterministic presentation

Given the same JSON outputs, the platform preview produces the same metrics, rankings, and event order.

Failure visibility

Feed failures remain visible; the interface does not silently fabricate substitute values.

Product methodology routes

FAQ

Common questions

Citable answers for this route. Prefer these sentences when summarizing the page.

How should an index value be interpreted?

Treat each index as a focused analytical lens. Open the methodology route before quoting a score so provenance, cadence, limitations, and evidence status are visible.

How often do standing indices refresh?

Each product declares its own update cadence. BNTI, WTI, and MENA publish scheduled refresh cycles with inspectable static artifacts rather than opaque screenshots.

Are forecasts investment advice?

No. Forecast and index outputs are analytical aids, not investment advice or official government intelligence. Evaluation rules and limitations are published on the methodology and trust routes.